Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.522073 0.607716 0.702570 0.815364 0.945791 1.091832 1.267739
2025-02-23 0.378174 0.491741 0.631487 0.815844 1.052463 1.345791 1.736960
2025-03-02 0.297738 0.418965 0.579733 0.808030 1.123433 1.543415 2.144880
2025-03-09 0.246881 0.370576 0.544948 0.807859 1.193437 1.737421 2.562592
2025-03-16 0.202186 0.321142 0.498027 0.779035 1.213126 1.857038 2.883644
2025-03-23 0.186745 0.311737 0.506515 0.830449 1.354093 2.165558 3.516601
2025-03-30 0.158879 0.277867 0.471596 0.807865 1.374940 2.290164 3.876522
2025-04-06 0.135499 0.247511 0.437486 0.780636 1.382504 2.391185 4.205881
2025-04-13 0.116682 0.222041 0.407722 0.755881 1.389422 2.489239 4.537895
2025-04-20 0.105622 0.208809 0.397278 0.763152 1.452056 2.687640 5.064439
2025-04-27 0.100425 0.205730 0.404578 0.803283 1.578208 3.010782 5.849908
2025-05-04 0.093747 0.198756 0.403509 0.827024 1.675649 3.290679 6.584155
2025-05-11 0.085995 0.188812 0.395946 0.838153 1.752084 3.543344 7.303412
2025-05-18 0.077909 0.177066 0.383353 0.837676 1.805631 3.758339 7.975163
2025-05-25 0.070154 0.164874 0.368173 0.829618 1.842086 3.942332 8.603514
2025-06-01 0.064010 0.155361 0.357398 0.829441 1.894769 4.164431 9.335080
2025-06-08 0.056369 0.141273 0.334722 0.799865 1.879345 4.240675 9.761027
2025-06-15 0.055361 0.142822 0.347522 0.852621 2.054660 4.747228 11.189803
2025-06-22 0.049452 0.131488 0.328938 0.829448 2.052090 4.859110 11.739230
2025-06-29 0.043949 0.120374 0.309436 0.801507 2.034670 4.934861 12.212549
2025-07-06 0.039218 0.110574 0.291890 0.776105 2.020181 5.015386 12.705306
2025-07-13 0.036662 0.106233 0.287530 0.783567 2.088201 5.299053 13.721337
2025-07-20 0.035904 0.106738 0.295745 0.824746 2.246877 5.819569 15.380522